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Hypothesis Tests for Means

A free Statistics and Data Analysis lesson from the “Inference and Conclusions” unit, with a worked example and practice problems including step-by-step solutions.

Specify a population mean under H0 and a directional or two-sided alternative before examining the result. For a one-sample t test, calculate SE=s/√n, then t=(x-bar−mu0)/SE with df=n−1. Check randomization/independence and distribution conditions. Use the appropriate t distribution to obtain a p-value, or compare with the supplied critical values. Reject when p<=alpha; otherwise fail to reject. A p-value measures as-extreme-or-more-extreme results under H0, not the probability H0 is true. For independent groups standardize the difference of means with its two-sample SE and appropriate degrees of freedom; paired samples require a difference analysis.

What you'll learn

Why it matters: Average delivery times, medication response, class scores, and manufacturing measurements often lead to tests about means.

Worked example

Problem. An independent random sample has n=16, mean 54 and sample SD 8. Test H0: mu=50. Calculate t.

  1. SE=8/√16=2.
  2. t=(54−50)/2=2.

Answer: 2

Lesson preview: this page shows 5 practice items. The interactive activity contains 8 practice items and 8 quiz items (multiple choice and typed response). Counts include repeated prompts and variants.

Practice problems

1. A claim sets population mean fill at 50 mL. Investigators suspect a change in either direction. Which hypotheses match?

Choices: H0: mu!=50; Ha: mu=50 · H0: mu=50; Ha: mu>50 only · H0: mu=50; Ha: mu!=50 · H0: xbar=50; Ha: xbar!=50

Show solution
  1. Hypotheses concern the population parameter.
  2. Either-direction suspicion requires a two-sided alternative.

Answer: H0: mu=50; Ha: mu!=50

2. An independent random sample has n=16, mean 54 and sample SD 8. Test H0: mu=50. Calculate t.

Show solution
  1. SE=8/√16=2.
  2. t=(54−50)/2=2.

Answer: 2

3. For the one-sample mean test based on n=16, what df should be used?

Show solution
  1. The one-sample t test has n−1 degrees of freedom.

Answer: 15

4. For this two-sided test at alpha=.05, the critical values are ±2.131. The test statistic is t=2. Choose the decision.

Choices: Reject H0 · Prove H0 true · Prove every package has a different fill · Fail to reject H0

Show solution
  1. Compare |2| with 2.131.
  2. The statistic does not reach the critical boundary.

Answer: Fail to reject H0

5. A two-sided mean test reports p=.009. What does that mean under its model?

Choices: The chance the sample mean is correct is .009 · Exactly .9% of individual observations are unusual · If the null mean were true, a statistic at least as extreme in either direction would occur with probability .009 · The probability the null is true is .009

Show solution
  1. The probability is conditional on H0 and includes as-extreme-or-more-extreme statistics.

Answer: If the null mean were true, a statistic at least as extreme in either direction would occur with probability .009

Explain and apply

Complete these tasks on paper. Use the rubric to review your reasoning with a teacher or study partner; these tasks are not automatically scored.

Independent groups: complete a Welch t analysis

Two independent random samples from large approximately normal populations have means 18 and 14, SDs 6 and 8, and sizes 36 and 64. Test equal population means against a two-sided alternative at alpha=.05. Calculate the statistic and use a calculator's Welch output df=90 and p≈.0058. Explain the population parameter, conditions, result and design limits.

Review rubric and solution
  • Define mu1−mu2 in context; H0: difference=0, Ha: difference!=0.
  • Check independent random samples, small sampling fractions, and distribution conditions.
  • Calculate SE=√2 and t=2.828.
  • Compare .0058 with .05 and reject equality.
  • Explain evidence of a population mean difference without assuming a causal treatment effect.
  1. SE=√(36/36+64/64)=√2; t=(18−14)/√2≈2.828.
  2. Welch df=(1+1)²/(1/35+1/63)=90; the two-sided p-value is about .0058.
  3. Reject equal population means at .05; the random-sampling design does not by itself establish causation.

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