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Random Sampling and Inference

A free Pre-Algebra lesson from the “Statistics and Probability” unit, with a worked example and practice problems including step-by-step solutions.

Random sampling uses chance to select members of a population. In a simple random sample of a fixed size, every possible sample of that size has the same chance of selection, so every member has an equal chance. Random selection reduces selection bias but does not guarantee a representative result; samples still vary. To estimate a population total from a simple random sample, use sample-count / sample-size = estimated total / population, and remember that the result is an estimate.

What you'll learn

Why it matters: Election polls, quality-control inspections at factories, and wildlife population estimates (capture-recapture method) all depend on random sampling.

Worked example

Problem. A random sample of 100 voters shows 60 support a measure. Estimate support among 1000 voters.

  1. Sample proportion: 60 / 100 = 0.6 (60%).
  2. Apply to the population: 0.6 * 1000 = 600.
  3. Connect the calculation back to Random Sampling and Inference so the method, not just the arithmetic, is clear.
  4. Check the result against the original question before writing the final answer.

Answer: 600

Lesson preview: this page shows 5 practice items. The interactive activity contains 28 practice items and 15 quiz items (multiple choice and typed response). Counts include repeated prompts and variants.

Practice problems

1. In a simple random sample, every member of the population has:

Choices: Equal chance of being chosen · No chance · A higher chance if they speak up

Show solution
  1. A simple random sample gives every possible sample of the required size the same chance.
  2. Consequently, every individual has the same chance of being chosen.

Answer: Equal chance of being chosen

2. Surveying only students in the gym about favorite school activities is:

Choices: Random · Biased

Show solution
  1. Gym-goers may favor sports more than the general population.

Answer: Biased

3. A sample of 100 randomly chosen voters predicts 60% support a measure. Estimate support in 1000 voters.

Show solution
  1. 60% of 1000 = 600.

Answer: 600

4. Under the same simple-random-sampling method, larger samples generally have:

Choices: Less sample-to-sample variation · More sample-to-sample variation

Show solution
  1. Larger samples tend to reduce chance variation in an estimate.
  2. This does not guarantee that one particular larger sample will be closer to the true value.

Answer: Less sample-to-sample variation

5. A capture-recapture sample of 50 fish has 5 tagged. The lake has 1000 fish total. Estimate the tagged population.

Show solution
  1. 5/50 = x/1000 means x = 100.

Answer: 100

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