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Probability Foundations

A free Pre-Algebra lesson from the “Statistics and Probability” unit, with a worked example and practice problems including step-by-step solutions.

Probability describes how likely an event is. For equally likely outcomes, probability is favorable outcomes divided by total outcomes. A probability of 0 means impossible, 1 means certain, and values between 0 and 1 describe events that might happen.

What you'll learn

Why it matters: Weather forecasts, sports odds, board-game spinners, and lottery tickets all use probability. The chance is always between 0 and 1, or 0% and 100%.

Worked example

Problem. A bag has 3 red marbles and 5 blue marbles. What is the probability of choosing a red marble?

  1. There are 3 favorable outcomes: the red marbles.
  2. There are 8 total marbles.
  3. The probability is 3/8.

Answer: 3/8

Practice problems

1. A fair coin is flipped once. What is the probability of heads?

Show solution
  1. Warm-up: First identify exactly what the question is asking: A fair coin is flipped once. What is the probability of heads?
  2. For probability, count favorable outcomes and total outcomes carefully before writing the ratio.
  3. There is 1 heads outcome out of 2 equally likely outcomes.
  4. The probability is 1/2.
  5. Check the result by substituting or estimating: the response should match 1/2 and make sense in the original problem.

Answer: 1/2

2. A number cube has faces 1 through 6. What is the probability of rolling a 4?

Show solution
  1. Warm-up: First identify exactly what the question is asking: A number cube has faces 1 through 6. What is the probability of rolling a 4?
  2. For probability, count favorable outcomes and total outcomes carefully before writing the ratio.
  3. Only one face is a 4.
  4. There are 6 total faces.
  5. Check the result by substituting or estimating: the response should match 1/6 and make sense in the original problem.

Answer: 1/6

3. A bag has 2 green and 3 yellow tiles. What is the probability of choosing green?

Show solution
  1. Warm-up: First identify exactly what the question is asking: A bag has 2 green and 3 yellow tiles. What is the probability of choosing green?
  2. For probability, count favorable outcomes and total outcomes carefully before writing the ratio.
  3. There are 2 green tiles.
  4. There are 5 total tiles.
  5. Check the result by substituting or estimating: the response should match 2/5 and make sense in the original problem.

Answer: 2/5

4. A spinner has 8 equal sections and 3 are blue. What is the probability of blue?

Show solution
  1. Core Practice: First identify exactly what the question is asking: A spinner has 8 equal sections and 3 are blue. What is the probability of blue?
  2. For probability, count favorable outcomes and total outcomes carefully before writing the ratio.
  3. There are 3 favorable sections out of 8 total.
  4. Probability is 3/8.
  5. Check the result by substituting or estimating: the response should match 3/8 and make sense in the original problem.

Answer: 3/8

5. A bag has 4 red and 6 black cards. What is the probability of choosing black?

Show solution
  1. Core Practice: First identify exactly what the question is asking: A bag has 4 red and 6 black cards. What is the probability of choosing black?
  2. For probability, count favorable outcomes and total outcomes carefully before writing the ratio.
  3. There are 6 black cards out of 10 total.
  4. 6/10 simplifies to 3/5.
  5. Check the result by substituting or estimating: the response should match 3/5 and make sense in the original problem.

Answer: 3/5

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